Falcons are 4-7 and both the Bucs and Panthers hold tiebreakers over them which means they would have to win the division outright. While possible, it still seems highly unlikely. Especially since they are rolling with a washed up Cousins (although I am not sure Penix is much better).

The Bucs have a pretty easy schedule from here on out which is why they are still heavily favoured to win the division but if Baker is out who knows.