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This Market Watch article has a little analysis (although it is maybe a little too breathless):
The Fed’s overnight reverse repo facility once held about $2.5 trillion in spare cash, like a giant mattress stuffed with money nobody needed yet. That mattress is empty. The cash migrated into your money-market fund, which means you are now the mattress.
Then there’s the Standing Repo Facility. That’s the Fed’s emergency lending window. The backstop they said they’d “hardly ever use.” The facility that lets big dealers hand over Treasurys and get overnight cash at a preset rate. It’s the central bank’s credit card for when things get weird.
It’s been getting real weird.
Some days, dealers have borrowed up to $10 billion from the facility. Used to be that this was a quarterly thing. Now it’s Tuesday.
102 sats \ 0 replies \ @optimism 1h
Nice article (had to click it to check if they really said "things get weird", lol)
Here’s the tell: Private repo rates are printing above the Fed’s own ceiling on this facility. Which means the system is so tight that people are actually paying more to borrow in private markets than the Fed’s supposed “emergency” rate. That’s not a technical adjustment. That’s a failure of monetary control. That’s the Fed admitting it can’t actually set the price of money anymore. The market is doing it for them.
That means that the thing I posted about SOFR-IORB is actually correct, yey. lol
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