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It's mostly that plastics are cheap, right?
Easy enough to imagine energy demand rising to the point where plastics are no longer an economical use of petroleum, at least for all the things it's used for now.
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I think y'all would love Steward Brand's book in progress.
There's more but I'm on mobile.
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that's literally what the Harford article is about :)
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Super interesting and no surprise we decided to just stop using paper instead of dealing with all that.
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Sounds like a good setup for a scifi