He is okay on some stuff. He's definitely been wrong about the implosion of the Russian army and oil and gas sector based on his predictions from last summer.
He is one of those guys that I think if he had the name Bob Smith people wouldn't pay attention to him nearly so much. Something exotic about the name Zeihan.
As I say, he is okay but even his delivery gets a bit old for me after a few hours of videos.
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It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.
  • Yogi Berra
But there have been a number of very interesting developments since. Russia exporting its oil to Iran in the North (and Iran in turn exporting their oil from the South to Russia's customers). A. the U.S. resuming imports of Venezuelan oil, to just name a couple.
His timing may have been off but I think the direction was not incorrect. I'm aware of diesel shortages in a few locales being blamed on shipping constraints, forex issues, weather, etc. instead of how the refineries aren't able to get the type of crude they were designed for and thus the amount of diesel produced is less. Which is one of the things I learned from the Zeihan (and Chris Martenson / Peak Prosperity) videos. Sure, that just means I was previously ignorant on that aspect, but now I am a bit more informed and was prepared for this diesel "hiccup" and can be more confident in expecting a much more pronounced shortage to come.
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We have no idea what these freaks are actually doing on hidden balance sheets. The Treasury meanwhile is issuing new debt on steroids. Let's see how all this Fiat crap makes any sense. I think we'll all be japanized sooner than later
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Very good listen
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I think he likes the increase in engagement that occurs after spewing his anti-bitcoin commentary, so he makes a point to do that in his videos, but other than that this isn't the worst way to spend six minutes of your Sunday.
Here's the corresponding newsletter:
Why the Fed Is Shrinking the Balance Sheet https://zeihan.com/why-the-fed-is-shrinking-the-balance-sheet/
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