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The fact that a faction of the narco-dictatorship remains in my country brings me no joy or positive outlook. I'm very curious to know why Trump didn't arrest them all. The cancer of socialism must be eradicated, otherwise the arrest of Maduro will have been in vain.
I doubt there's any allegiances or prospects for success here, its purely operational contingency planning. Anything public facing has at least a 50% chance of being deception. Short-term moves tell us anything about the long-term plan which we only know to be hemispheric security.
If the US were to install someone other than Delcy, and that person fails, they'd be pilloried for that failure and give any legal challenges potential footing.
Since Delcy has been in her position prior to this operation, it's not really regime change, and her failure would only then open the door to install someone other: "We gave them a chance." That road to failure gives time for a proper successor to gain legitimacy and not appear like a direct installation.
If Delcy cooperates and everything goes well, then the whole situation appears low-touch and justified from the beginning. Problem solved.
Trump/NatSec are simply putting themselves in a win-win/no-lose situation with her regardless of the outcome.
There's also the wildcard of what the actual plan is for Maduro, this spectacle was for public consumption otherwise they could have made it looked like an internal assasination and avoided the controversy of showing force... odds are very high much of this was staged after they twisted Maduro's arm back in 2018-2019. The future direction can't be gleaned until we at least get a show trial with Maduro dropping names and possibly asylum.
So, is Delcy (Narco-dictatorship/Socialism) taking executive power in my country on Monday part of a show staged by Trump? If so, my country has not been liberated but mocked again.
You have a puppet government either way, just a new master today.
It's still positive for you, but progress may be slower than hoped.
If she is to fail or not cooperate, it may still be more pain before it gets better. But if it gets worse, that will be last straw to cut the tumor out completely... Then you can heal.
I think she will cooperate enough until a proper transition takes place, at least enough for some money to invest and raise the standard of living and provide some stability.
No country is ever truly liberated, even the US is somewhat a slave to economic realities. But I believe your country is a step closer to providing a better situation for its people. Americans know Venezuelans well, you're an industrious and resilient people, who will now be able to be treated like our own. It's just a bumpy ride to get there from where things are now.
Trust the plan.
3rd order thinking, was this an invitation to China to seize the separatist PM of Taiwan? We just laid that precedent on the international stage.
Moral equivalency of CIAwan vs Narco-terrorism aside, since China has a similar security rationale, it would be very expensive for China to take Taiwan with overwhelming force and it'd be extremely expensive for the US to defend it... I doubt think there's appetite from serious people for a major confrontation over that on either side.
This could be part of a back-channel negotiation, the US gives China a cheap W be removing the separatists knowing its far from our shores, and our Navy (and Japan) still controls their sea lanes and the pacific at large. We've been hedging TSMC for nearly a decade already.
This would pattern match with understanding Russia's security concerns re: Ukraine and little benefit to allowing most of Europe to nothing more than a cost-center. The 2025 strategy carves out for relations with only a handful of european countries that Russia would have either have no strategic interest nor the capability to inflict a heavy cost on US defense.
This could be part of a back-channel negotiation, the US gives China a cheap W be removing the separatists knowing its far from our shores and our Navy (and Japan) still controls their sea lanes and we've been hedging TSMC for nearly a decade already.
Quite possible.
Isn't TSMC opening a new chip fab on US soil? Timing may be right...
TSMC opening a new chip fab on US soil
Yea, the chip wonks will say 90% of the tippy top chips are still made in Taiwan, but that number is trending down not up, and a forcing function would remove the bandaid pretty quickly. It's all just machines and machines are replicable/moveable.
Intel's new fabs are also very important, the whole investment under the fake Biden COG psyop only to reveal a national stake later is further evidence we'd rather invest domestically than waste trillions defending a CIA field office on the other side of the planet.
Not actually looking all that great, as it seems like Trump wants Delcy.
Seems like if she gets the nod its going to be a "meet the new boss" situation....