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"Job Growth in the Private-Sector, Massive Job Losses at Federal & State Governments in H2 2025
by Wolf Richter • Jan 9, 2026 • 59 Comments
The Fed should look at private-sector employment. Layoffs at the government are a political decision, not the result of economic weakness.
By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET.
The job losses at the federal government and at state governments have hit nonfarm employment all year, and hard. In 2025, the federal government shed 274,000 jobs, and state governments shed 45,000 jobs, combined 319,000 jobs, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics today.

In December, as well as in November, federal government jobs edged up, possibly on large-scale hiring by ICE, after the plunge in October when the federal government shed an upwardly revised 179,000 workers, largely the result of workers who’d volunteered to quit earlier in the year but who, as part of their incentives to quit, had continued to receive their salaries until September 30. Civilian employment at the federal government in December and November, at 2.74 million, was the lowest since 2014."

...not really new news, but lots of details and charts.

I imagine some of the state government job losses are a result of losing federal grants or other contracts.

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It's been a definite hit, no argument there. What a lot of people don't know is how much money gets passed down to states and then to local government like cities and counties and it's all tied to fed distribution.

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I think the big downstream hit will be in public universities, but I'm not sure how long that will take.

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69 sats \ 1 reply \ @Bell_curve 4h
State government jobs are dominated by jobs at state universities, which are huge employers. For example, the University of California system employs 267,000 faculty and staff (data via University of California), nearly half of the state government’s total employees of 551,000 (data via BLS).
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Oh, for some reason I expected those to be counted separately.

University admins got hammered by a change in how grant funds can be spent, plus a ton of grants got canceled.

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Good analysis

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