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If I were to propose an encryption backdoor, that's what I'd mean [1], yes, but that is not what politicians mean. What they mean is: force developers to build spyware of any kind and regulate everything that circumvents it away. If all you have is a hammer...

How optimistic would you say you are on the future that avoids these sorts of things?

I'm optimistic that I can personally avoid it, probably I'm overconfident in my own abilities though. I'm extremely pessimistic for everyone that cannot code their own functionality without the help of an LLM. It's both awesome and awful at the same time that we're finally going back to the resistance 90s. It means that
"we" failed to normalize personal sovereignty, real cybersecurity for the individual, and most importantly privacy.

pretty much most devices will be openly backdoored in 5 years?

I think it won't be "openly". It will just be done.

Edit: like, now that allegedly the Chinese have hacked the FBI's own backdoors into the telco systems, suddenly "the Chinese are capturing everything". This implies that before the Chinese gained access, the feds were already capturing everything. Do we really believe in the benevolence of our own governments in 2026?

  1. But even if that were the only case, it is expensive to maintain different kinds of encryption based on jurisdiction. The nerfed version will become the standard.