So the problem is that if a former minority fork overtakes the former majority fork (even though unlikely) then you can get force closed in the past, beyond your lock time.

Without lightning I would be the biggest fan of chaos. Because that allows non-orchestrated order to form and then we have a real outcome 

With payment channels of any kind, or any multisig with penalty mechanism in general, I.e. LN, this means that assurances taken for granted currently are up in the air. No matter whether that is a narrated attack like what happened on Monero, or an attack that is narrated as benevolent, as in 110.

optimism

I'm still not totally clear how that will play out. No doubt there will be lots of chatter on here about it and I'll read through it attentively.

In the likely event that they stay a small minority, I don't expect it to matter much. Most of my channel partners are large lsp's, who would likely stay on the majority side. SN isn't forking, which only leaves my channel with Predyx. I don't think they're forking but I suppose I should ask them.

bitcoin

The asymmetric advantage of a BIP-110 fork

Scoresby

I'm still not totally clear how that will play out. No doubt there will be lots of chatter on here about it and I'll read through it attentively.

In the likely event that they stay a small minority, I don't expect it to matter much. Most of my channel partners are large lsp's, who would likely stay on the majority side. SN isn't forking, which only leaves my channel with Predyx. I don't think they're forking but I suppose I should ask them.