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[...] in order to believe X, what else must you believe [...]
This is exactly what I was thinking about when I thought about destiny vs. free will. If one believes in destiny, can they also believe in free will? Maybe I'm misunderstanding something about what people commonly understand as destiny, though. I mean, I don't think it's common for people to believe in destiny and then be like, "Cool, I can now just do nothing, because destiny will do everything for me!" Right?
[...] it's useful to inspect the larger bundle that that belief nestles into [...]
There was a website that analyzed beliefs in a flow chart iirc. I think it compared believing in capitalism vs communism as an example. Maybe you know which website I mean, because it was you who mentioned it, haha? I didn't find it right now, but I'll try harder later.
btw, funny example you used there as an extraordinary belief
[...] What else would you need to believe, to believe you could be a lightning protocol developer? [...]
I think I would also need to believe that the opportunity cost of being a lightning protocol developer, so not being able to do other things as much as I may want to do them, isn't too high. Maybe that's what creates the most friction for me currently? Do I want to become a lightning protocol developer so much that I'm willing to not do other things, whether they're related to bitcoin or not at all?
Related to this, I've also been thinking a lot about @TonyGiorgio's post High Risk, Low Reward.
However, I also know that just because I started something, doesn't mean I have to commit to it forever.
Thanks for the questions, they are good ones!
I would also need to believe that the opportunity cost of being a lightning protocol developer, so not being able to do other things as much as I may want to do them, isn't too high.
FWIW, I find that the way Saylor talks about focus, and the place of focus in success, to be one of the most compelling of his various liturgical pieces. Like, there's something very deep and powerful in it. I don't have a good targeted reference to an example, sadly, but a broader example is the latest WBD ep he did w/ Danny.
Maybe you know which website I mean, because it was you who mentioned it, haha?
It sounds like something I'd be v interested in, but I have no memory of it :( If you find it, please post.
btw, funny example you used there as an extraordinary belief
I wanted to pick something realistic and familiar. A surprising (to me) number of bitcoiners -- even prominent ones -- have this cluster. It's interesting to note what else they have.
In fact, the broader issue of what you have to believe, or tend to believe, to be a bitcoiner is a deep, deep rabbit hole.
I love this question and am kind of obsessed by it.
An interesting thing to consider is, in order to believe X, what else must you believe, in order to make X fit in with the larger belief ecology? The mind resists incompatibilities -- this is what dissonance is -- and it's difficult to integrate incompatible bits with the larger collection of what you already know. The bigger and more consequential the inconsistency, the more the dissonance manifests.
So when you encounter someone who believes something extraordinary (e.g., that women are inferior to and should be subservient to men) it's useful to inspect the larger bundle that that belief nestles into. Or maybe, more practically: to predict what else might be in there, to nurture and give rise to the thing you see demonstrated. Stuff fits together in complex ways, so you shouldn't be too confident, but you can usually make reasonable inferences.
It seems like you could make use of this strategically. What else would you need to believe, to believe you could be a lightning protocol developer? What things do you already believe that might resist integrating those beliefs into your existing edifice? What actions support those beliefs, pro and con?