In general, my gut reaction to $5k with no donations is "no chance," but that also depends on where you are (and I'm not asking you to dox, just assuming you've got some sense of your own district). Same goes for winning as an independent. It almost certainly depends on the incumbent and other major party challenger (if both parties have some chance of success -- if you're in Cambridge, MA or Chattanooga, TN, that changes things).
In general, my gut reaction to $5k with no donations is "no chance," but that also depends on where you are (and I'm not asking you to dox, just assuming you've got some sense of your own district). Same goes for winning as an independent. It almost certainly depends on the incumbent and other major party challenger (if both parties have some chance of success -- if you're in Cambridge, MA or Chattanooga, TN, that changes things).