You mean the podcaster? I don't know. Just some guy by the looks of it giving his opinion on things? But the WSJ have covered the recent purge of the top Chinese military and their analysis of it seems credible.
'In purging his top generals, Chinese leader Xi Jinping put the command of the armed forces in the hands of one man—himself. Now, his vision alone will decide the course of Beijing’s looming confrontation with Taiwan.
The arrest of Gen. Zhang Youxia, a close ally and childhood friend the Chinese leader called “big brother,” removes any internal authoritative voices who could slow Xi’s hand in any move against Taiwan, the democratic, self-governing island that Beijing claims as part of its territory.
The timing is critical. The Chinese military is racing toward a 2027 deadline Xi has set for “modernization,” often interpreted as readiness for a Taiwan contingency.
A near-term invasion of Taiwan, though, is now less likely, said foreign-policy and military analysts, now that Xi has purged five of the six senior generals that he had handpicked to lead the military just three years ago. Xi is pivoting to a campaign designed to break Taipei’s resolve without firing a shot, these analysts said.
Beijing will increasingly lean on tactics that fall just below the threshold of open conflict, the analysts said. This includes relentless exercises intended to simulate a maritime and air blockade of Taiwan, displaying the blunt force behind Beijing’s psychological offensive.'
The WSJ analysis rings true to me- I think China want to take Taiwan without using force- such a takeover would be far more powerful in terms of the end result. My guess is it will be negotiated in the next few years without much if any bloodshed.
You mean the podcaster?
I don't know. Just some guy by the looks of it giving his opinion on things?
But the WSJ have covered the recent purge of the top Chinese military and their analysis of it seems credible.
https://www.wsj.com/world/china/xi-jinping-is-stripping-down-his-military-command-and-starting-over-2e747c07
https://archive.ph/NrO6Y
'In purging his top generals, Chinese leader Xi Jinping put the command of the armed forces in the hands of one man—himself. Now, his vision alone will decide the course of Beijing’s looming confrontation with Taiwan.
The arrest of Gen. Zhang Youxia, a close ally and childhood friend the Chinese leader called “big brother,” removes any internal authoritative voices who could slow Xi’s hand in any move against Taiwan, the democratic, self-governing island that Beijing claims as part of its territory.
The timing is critical. The Chinese military is racing toward a 2027 deadline Xi has set for “modernization,” often interpreted as readiness for a Taiwan contingency.
A near-term invasion of Taiwan, though, is now less likely, said foreign-policy and military analysts, now that Xi has purged five of the six senior generals that he had handpicked to lead the military just three years ago. Xi is pivoting to a campaign designed to break Taipei’s resolve without firing a shot, these analysts said.
Beijing will increasingly lean on tactics that fall just below the threshold of open conflict, the analysts said. This includes relentless exercises intended to simulate a maritime and air blockade of Taiwan, displaying the blunt force behind Beijing’s psychological offensive.'
The WSJ analysis rings true to me- I think China want to take Taiwan without using force- such a takeover would be far more powerful in terms of the end result.
My guess is it will be negotiated in the next few years without much if any bloodshed.