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More pressure, but it doesn't seem like it benefits average defenses -- not like we haven't had a lot of overs come in. It's only when the defense can make you rush more than usual that it seems to have an outsized effect. And maybe that's not even the explanation, just that elite defenses have really been the difference almost every time one is in a Super Bowl. There are a couple exceptions: 2008 Steelers over the Cardinals (defense got lit up even though it was elite by most metrics) and the 49ers defense that lost to Mahomes, but it was dominating for 3.5 quarters.
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True, but your thesis here is that the pressure of the Super Bowl is qualitatively different.
What outcome would surprise you the most?