They could probably game the metric to hit 15%, but 15% real growth would be pretty nuts over any significant timeframe. Sometimes you see that in the developing world, when they abandon some catastrophically bad policy set.
It takes time to change the structure of production, which is what we're talking about.
That kind of growth would mean rapid obsolescence of existing production methods, which means you lose a lot of the efficiencies of long-term investments in durable capital. Then you have all the information frictions.
In a radical scenario, like Ron Paul being president and eliminating all government interventions, I wouldn't be surprised to see a few years of growth like that but they would also be following an enormous economic correction.
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They could probably game the metric to hit 15%, but 15% real growth would be pretty nuts over any significant timeframe. Sometimes you see that in the developing world, when they abandon some catastrophically bad policy set.
It takes time to change the structure of production, which is what we're talking about.
So you think it’s plausible with AI, space data centers, and backing the currency with Bitcoin?
Just seems too far-fetched to ever happen. GDP growth on that level would be a golden age for sure! Bigger than the so called Chinese miracle.
No, I think it's very far-fetched.
That kind of growth would mean rapid obsolescence of existing production methods, which means you lose a lot of the efficiencies of long-term investments in durable capital. Then you have all the information frictions.
In a radical scenario, like Ron Paul being president and eliminating all government interventions, I wouldn't be surprised to see a few years of growth like that but they would also be following an enormous economic correction.
Depends on what the clanker was fed:
With hard money 50% would be natural
Easy. Devalue the currency by 15%.
Real gdp growth on the other hand would be unlikely. Maybe for a couple years if there was some incredible AI or energy breakthrough.