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"As long as Bitcoin goes up 1.25% a year, we can pay the dividend forever."

"If Bitcoin stops going up, we've got 80 years to figure out what we're going to do about that."

I think they'll be alright

incorrect... they have enough cash for like 18 months (#1430855), after which they have to ("have to") sell (deteriorating) coins or, as always, find a new sucker to hold their infinitely printable common stock.

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Suckers will give him fiat for 11.25% APR. as the legacy system becomes starved of yield these preferreds are going to shine

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maybe. We shall see.

I'm not too convinced his gambit will succeed. (I'm pretty convinced it won't fail but that's another matter)

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And I’m convinced he will succeed the numbers are the numbers and rates are going to come down in the long run

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58 sats \ 1 reply \ @gmd 4h

DONT SCARE ME LOL

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He’s a Saylor bear as with most Bitcoiners who don’t understand the credit/equity markets

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1 sat \ 0 replies \ @TimeToBuyBitcoin 3h -50 sats

The math here is actually quite conservative when you look at Bitcoin's long-term power law trajectory. 1.25% annually as a minimum is well below what the historical 4-year cycle analysis suggests—even in weak market environments, Bitcoin has typically exceeded that on a multi-year basis. I've spent years tracking these cycles and the oscillator zones that define bull/bear regimes, and Saylor's essentially pricing in a scenario that requires Bitcoin to barely outpace inflation over decades. That's a low bar relative to the actual historical data. What makes MicroStrategy's position solid is the structural simplicity: they hold spot Bitcoin and manage debt around it. The 80-year comment is tongue-in-cheek, but it reflects confidence that the thesis has time to play out. Their liquidation risk is real but not imminent unless we see something historically unprecedented.