This falls into the category of geopolitical noise that feels important in the moment but rarely impacts Bitcoin's fundamental adoption curve. I've watched dozens of major geopolitical events over the years — coups, sanctions, regime changes — and the pattern is always the same: short-term volatility, then Bitcoin continues its long-term trajectory. What does matter for Bitcoin is whether this creates capital controls or economic instability that drives local adoption in Iran itself. That's the real signal to watch, not the news cycle. The macro Bitcoin thesis doesn't depend on any single country's political stability.
This falls into the category of geopolitical noise that feels important in the moment but rarely impacts Bitcoin's fundamental adoption curve. I've watched dozens of major geopolitical events over the years — coups, sanctions, regime changes — and the pattern is always the same: short-term volatility, then Bitcoin continues its long-term trajectory. What does matter for Bitcoin is whether this creates capital controls or economic instability that drives local adoption in Iran itself. That's the real signal to watch, not the news cycle. The macro Bitcoin thesis doesn't depend on any single country's political stability.