A lot of events are interconnected though, and people will argue over that word "plausibly". and this adds another layer of uncertainty to the resolution criteria.

Not that I think that'll stop any degens from yoloing into the prediction markets

That's why I'd guess their policy is "if this outcome was plausibly influenced by the death of someone, we do not payout."

k00b

I feel like it would be very hard to police consistently. If you refuse to pay out due to someone being killed, what if a sports team loses a championship game because one or their players was killed? It seems impossible to draw clear boundaries on what events will be paid out and what won't