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This appears to be the first confirmed firing in big tech due to betting on prediction markets. And it's unlikely to be the last. Questions about trades surrounding OpenAI product launch dates have long been lingering among industry analysts.

One of the most high-profile incidents occurred before the launch of the ChatGPT browser. Forty hours before the release, 13 new accounts appeared on Polymarket. Together, they bet $300,000 on the desired outcome and, apparently, made a good profit.

A similar story, albeit for a more modest amount, occurred in 2023 during Altman's dismissal. A new trader bet on his return, earned $16,000, and never returned to the platform.

Insider trading issues aren't unique to OpenAI. On Polymarket, for example, there's an account called 0xafEe, which earned over a million dollars on Google-related events.