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jews have plenty of relatives who gradually showed up decades after becoming refugees.
the refugee mindset is regrettably common, even without any obvious collective punishment; all it takes is one frightening conversation with someone who knows everyone you love, and tells you they're better off being your penpals from now on.
I don't know anyone that's disappeared. I know quite a few people who have died or committed suicide. I guess I don't have any murders even a hop or two away either though.
It's plausible. I would have a hard time asking folks to support my disappearance but I have a hard time asking for things generally.