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According to your definition of success and failure, if Bitcoin fails, it will never be successful since what would enter circulation would be printed Bitcoin IOUs. It would be a Gold Standard 2.0. However, with the "success" of stablecoins in maintaining dollar hegemony, this standard might never happen. This leaves room for the Bitcoin success you mentioned, which is what I believe in: peer-to-peer, local voluntary exchanges, outside the game. Slow and steady, resilient.