Birth rates fall everywhere, and all at once
(newsflash, the defining problem of our time is NOT climate change or some other irrelevant neo-religious ferver #1490834)
What's the big deal? WEEELLL... not good (aside from the cooperation, division of labor, innovation tendencies etc):
Population ageing shrinks the workforce and exerts a drag on growth in productivity and living standards — Japan’s stagnation since the 1990s is almost entirely explained by low birth rates that have shrunk its working-age population. Fiscal pressure from ballooning spending on pensions and care also crowds out investment in infrastructure, helping create a sense of decline that fuels anti-system politics.
...cough, fuck the boomers...
And the search for the holy grail is figuring out why exactly this happened, and what can be done about it (=nothing... every government effort thrown at it has failed in practice).
"The stereotypes often associated with this trend include women putting careers before children, or couples who choose not to have them despite plenty of disposable income.""The stereotypes often associated with this trend include women putting careers before children, or couples who choose not to have them despite plenty of disposable income."
the decline in births and coupling is much steeper among those with the least education and lowest incomes. By contrast the share of university graduates forming couples and having children is stable or even rising in some cases
the absence of long-term housing acts as a barrier to other long-term commitments. But this cannot account for the most recent steep decline or its global breadth. In the Nordic region, for example, fertility has fallen despite economic stability and a rise in the number of young adults living on their own, rather than with parents or flatmates.
Birth rates are often collapsing despite, not because of, people’s desires. Most young men and women still report wanting around two children — even in South Korea where most women now have zero. Instead, there is a “fertility gap” between goals and outcomes, due to frictions and frustrations that have much to do with modern lifestyles — including our homes and, increasingly, our phones.
Nope, it's not the broken moneyNope, it's not the broken money
In country after country the birth rate plunged after the introduction of smartphones, no matter what the previous trend was. The younger the age group, the more pronounced the downturn — a mirror image of smartphone usage patterns.
And the pre-digital screens were to blame as well:
In 2001, researchers Robert Hornik and Emile McAnany found that there was a stronger link between falling birth rates and television ownership than between income or education. A decade later a study by Eliana La Ferrara and others found that watching TV soap operas that portray small families led women to have fewer children, and in 2018 Adrienne Lucas and Nicholas Wilson found that owning a television led couples to have less sex. Considering smartphone usage is heavier and more solitary than television viewing, the effects could be much larger.
I don't quite understand what it is about the mesmerizing screens that somehow, via messing with our minds and desires, result in a) having fewer kids, b) coupling up less.
Surely some Bitcoiners in here will spin it as "it's the money, stupid" and I'm looking forward to hearing that (even more unbelievable) pitch.
We really fucked our societies ("we"; well, the Boomers. It was always the Boomers, them commie parasites).
I don't know either, but anecdotally a rejoinder I always heard growing up in 80s to a couple announcing their 4th or 5th child was: "Don't you two have a TV?"
I guess now we need to upgrade it to "Dont you two have a tiktok account?"
I mean, isn't it obvious? Sex becomes just one entertainment option among many, including more easily accessible fake sex
Yep. When sex was the only fun thing to do after the Sun went down, people did more of it.
Given that we have contraception now, the quantity of sex shouldn't be that significant for baby makig
Necessary but not sufficient
Clearly!
It feels like an all of the above story to me: lots of factors that share the common outcome of reduced fertility.
You don’t understand what is mesmerizing about screens? Sex is just entertainment. More sex more babies. Less sex fewer babies. Phones are a substitute good to sex.
Yeah, because in the anno 2026, all sex lead to babies
Following your retort to "fix the money, fix the world", I find it interesting and fascinating that for a culture built explicitly on a consensus algorithm we never discuss social consensus and what advertising — and the ideology of revealed preferences that underpins it — has been doing to our species since the 1840s and the 'penny dreadfuls' or 'penny press'.
Engagement based media funded by advertising, with all of the perverse incentives intrinsic to it, is purposely dis-integrating us. Individuals are atomised, dissolving the bonds and the common frames of reference that build empathy and trust, and thus families. But each individual is also treated — and has come to identify as — an atomised series of moments that we call "experiences", completely unmoored from any long-term personal narrative or low time preference. The integrated, unitary self across time does not exist in this parasitic system.
But the same underlying patterns of proof of work can be repurposed to build systems that foster social consensus, although not absolute, not deterministic, not perfect. But Bitcoiners want to defect, they don't want to fix anything. They want bitcoin the way a billionaire tech bros wants a bunker, and Elon wants Mars.
There is enough capital and intelligence in the bitcoin community to solve this, but there isn't the will, because Bitcoiners are as nihilistic as the society we critique.
Why breed when you can see your civilisation is in terminal moral, political and economic decline?
Any sense of national and cultural pride has been declining ever since the amoral neoliberal death cult spread its self centred creed of greed is good individualism and lack of respect for community and society.
The Zionist bankers own your government and are extracting every last drop of wealth and energy as they build their Greater Israel Empire because they can see USA is dying as a viable military sponsor and proxy front to their Zionism.
The world can see that Trump is the Zionists puppet...and he is losing the war = End of the petrodollar.
"Community" is the problem. Governments forcing everyone to help each other (meaning the best people being enslaved to the worst) is the problem.
The Zionists are working for Israel. That's just patriotism. That's how countries should be. It only becomes a problem when Jews within America tell us to be less "selfish" by helping out complete strangers. That's what we're not going along with anymore.
The Iran War is one drop of US wealth. The rest of it is going straight to Japan.