Hello everyone!
I'm sure many of you are experiencing the same thing as me. Since the company opened the website for our World Cup predictions, and with the posts here on the forum, the internal standings at my company have become absolutely insane.
If you're like me, and tend to favor home or away wins to secure points, you'll have noticed that this World Cup had a trap in store for us: those dreaded draws.
Frustrated by seeing my predictions fall apart one after another, I started researching World Cup history and found some incredible data that perfectly explains why we're having so much trouble getting points.
The current record (which is numbered)The current record (which is numbered)
Historically, the World Cups with the most draws were South Africa 2010 and Brazil 2014, both with a total of 14 matches ending in a tie (counting the 90 minutes of regulation time).
Do you know how many draws we've had in this 2026 World Cup?
We've already had 8 draws in just 16 matches played! That is, half of the opening games ended without a winner in regulation time. We even had a historic day last Monday with four draws in a single day, something not seen since Sweden 1958.
Pure math: The record is going to fall.Pure math: The record is going to fall.
If we continue at this rate of a 50% draw rate, the historical record will be forgotten very quickly. But there's an even more important factor: the number of games this year. This is the first World Cup in history with 48 teams, meaning we've gone from the traditional 64 matches to a colossal 104. With such a high volume of games, and even if the tendency to draw decreases slightly in the knockout stages, it's mathematically almost a given that this year we'll break the record of 14 draws held by South Africa and Brazil.