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I do think a lot of the mempool being empty is because of: 1. the bear market; 2. a lot of financial volume went to ETFs (separate discussion if good or bad). At least some of the trading volume below would have gone to the bitcoin blockchain.
ETFs do bring new players as well. I think it's a net win for Bitcoin in the long term. But brings noise in the ST.
I keep expecting mining fees to pick up, but we seem to be stuck at ~1sat/vB. At least blocks aren't as empty as they were a little while ago.
Things like the rumors around Iran accepting bitcoin for tolls make so much sense, but I suspect we won't see anything like that any time soon.