Vibecession (or not); AI depolarization; Existential AI risk; Millennials vs. Boomers; Deindustrialization; Russian oil revenue; GLP-1s; AI and jobs

An old friend recently wrote to me, telling me that I needed to write a blog post about bears on bicycles. He wrote: “The internet needs a large, apex predator trying its best to navigate a two-wheeled vehicle through the complexities of global supply chains and geopolitical shifts.” Wise words indeed. AI-generated words, to be sure, but full of wisdom nonetheless.

Writing a Noahpinion post about bears on bikes sounded challenging, but I’m never one to shrink from a challenge. So I’ve tried to include bears on bikes as a thematic throughline in today’s roundup.

But first, a podcast. I went on Sam Harris’ podcast to talk about the state of the macroeconomy! His podcast is paywalled, but you can listen to the first quarter of the discussion here:

Here’s a YouTube preview, if you like video.

Anyway, on to the roundup!

1. What if the “vibecession” is just bad data?1. What if the “vibecession” is just bad data?

2. A bit of evidence for Digital Cronkite2. A bit of evidence for Digital Cronkite

3. A bad argument from a good economist about AI risk3. A bad argument from a good economist about AI risk

4. Millennials are doing better than Boomers (but are more unequal)4. Millennials are doing better than Boomers (but are more unequal)

5. Why did America deindustrialize?5. Why did America deindustrialize?

6. How much did the Iran War help Russia?6. How much did the Iran War help Russia?

7. Not being fat is probably good for you7. Not being fat is probably good for you

8. The latest on AI and jobs8. The latest on AI and jobs

...read more at noahpinion.blog