Last week I posed a challenge to the stackers to predict the weekly market close bullish 🟩 or bearish 🟥. Meaning the daily market close condition is aggregated over the 5 trading days. The conditions that achieves the majority (3 days) will determine if the week ends bullish or bearish.
For an example see last week’s post:
As we await the market open tomorrow place your guesses! The stacker who guesses correctly first will get the bounty!
If your entry is late you can boost it with sats!
The guess that has the highest sat boost will be paid the bounty. Payout will happen no earlier than close of market Friday July 17th.
Feel free to discuss other market ideas as well!
10,000 sats bounty
Monday 🟥 Bear:
#1524356
🟥 -3
🟩 -2
Sticky inflation data and tech profit-taking will force major selling, causing more red days than green days this week
🟩 3 - 2 🟥
S&P 500 closed strong at 7,575.39. Earnings season should keep us green most of the week.
🟩 1 ⚽ 4 🟥
🟩 3
🟥 2
Stocks will fluctuate, leaving nerves completely shattered
🟩 5
🟥 -3
🟩 -2
SPCX will still go bear this week
🟩🟥🟩🟥🟥
Up, down, sideways, mostly sideways
🟩 3
🟥 2
Geopolitics burn, but Nasdaq chills.
🟥 -5
Q2 earnings season on Tuesday, forcing investors to brace for weak forward guidance on consumer credit and net interest margins.
🟩 4
🟥 1
Semiconductor and memory data-storage firms are driving upward momentum.
🟩🟩 🟥🟥🟥
🟩 1 4 🟥
The Hormuz Strait transit route account for roughly 20% of the world's petroleum, present friction in the Strait keep spiking global crude and LNG prices, triggering energy market volatility.
I’m stalking only one my live of my life I barely know at all and probably actually hate
Markets closed, nothing to discuss.
Hot tip: Bitcoin doesn't close.
Also: Bull bet
Always something to discuss! Alpha is always out there!
Good luck! Next time use an emoji! How I keep record and minimize mistakes!
Oh, clever
Alright 👌 👌 👌 🟩🟩🟩 🟥🟥
Green x 4
Red x 1
🟩 3 - 2 🟥
Model-based guess, using the S&P 500 close versus the prior close:
🟥 Mon / 🟩 Tue / 🟥 Wed / 🟩 Thu / 🟥 Fri — 3 red, 2 green.
Monday’s oil spike and AI selloff likely lock in the first red day. I expect two reflex/earnings rebounds, but crude and geopolitical headline risk to win the weekly majority. The benchmark was not specified, so I’m declaring the S&P 500 up front.