His number 0.2% reduced chance is pretty damn small though. It's hard to have intuitions about these kinds of magnitudes.

I find it plausible that the people in whatever city hosted Iraq, or Iran or whichever supposedly threatening nation, will be harder to propagandize against them.

Maybe it's not a coincidence that Americans are so geographically ignorant and our rulers are such warmongers.

Undisciplined

But governments answer, eventually, to publics—and a public that has stood shoulder to shoulder with the people it was taught to fear is harder to march to war.

Feels a bit idealistic to me, honestly.  Even the allies and the germans soldiers famously played soccer together on the battlefield, only to go right back to killing each other afterwards.

Stacker_Sports

Politics_And_Law

econ

The Economics of the World Cup (WSJ, Roland Fryer)

denlillaapan

> But governments answer, eventually, to publics—and a public that has stood shoulder to shoulder with the people it was taught to fear is harder to march to war.

Feels a bit idealistic to me, honestly.  Even the allies and the germans soldiers famously played soccer together on the battlefield, only to go right back to killing each other afterwards.