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I agree that nation state adoption doesn't start with the US contrary to popular opinion but at the same time the smaller nations that are victims of dollar colonialism like El Salvador or even larger nations like Russia, Iran and Argentina that had legit use cases for BTC in one way or the other didn't go full throttle on BTC because ultimately all of them agree that the money printer is a very useful tool to have. BTC introduces mutually assured destruction dynamics which is why at a nation state level under the current political regime, it's highly unlikely to happen imho.
I think the situation is much more like a reverse tragedy for the commons (tragedy for the states, W for the people) than mutually assured destruction.
It's not like MAD because no states has the unilateral power to just make BTC the international reserve currency like nuclear states have the unilateral power to end the world.
Instead, all states benefit from the public good of maintaining the fiat money printers and not having BTC be the world reserve currency, yet individual suppressed states have direct and immediate incentives to be free riders by using it to settle international transactions in a sanction resistant way, which will slowly chip away at the public good until it becomes the world reserve currency.
The nation state adoption argument does not start with the united states, which of course will not give up its world reserve currency power willingly unless the alternative is country or group of rival countries are going to have it.
The argument is that the sanctioned nation states will begin to use BTC as a neutral settlement layer for international transactions which is reasonably well removed from US sanctioning power. Countries that do not like the US having reserve currency status and want to introduce a competitor. There is a very strong incentive for nation states antagonistic to the US to use a liquid neutral final settlement layer.
Countries like Iran charging tolls in BTC and Russia conducting cross border payments in BTC.