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I'm almost certain that under a frictionless competitive model you'd be able to derive some kind of equivalence result, similar to equivalence of tax incidence in competitive markets.

Aren't labor protections asymmetric? What would be the equivalent on the other side?

I just woke up, so maybe my brain is missing something obvious.

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I think I meant that absent artificial frictions like labor protections, the impacts would be symmetric.

But even with labor protections, I imagine that some kind of equivalence would still result under rational expectations models. I don't think it's obvious, it's more like my intuition tells me that only one allocation of surplus would be admissible in equilibrium

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I think I see what you're getting at. Do you think differences in risk aversion between firms and workers would actually make the incidence matter?

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