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Fascinating, that's really cool.
If you have a way to solve the liquidity problem, so that the volume is not constrained by how much liquidity the AMM has available, then Ark-based DLCs could work for an LMSR type AMM.
I wonder if it's possible to reuse liquidity across mutually exclusive outcomes. For example, outcome A and outcome B are mutually exclusive, and any traders that bet on outcome A, their payouts need to be committed beforehand to that DLC.
If it's possible to re-use the liquidity that's committed to the A outcome CET to the B outcome CET, then the volume of the prediction market is not constrained by the liquidity available in the AMM (besides the subsidy committed beforehand).
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Yes! Unilateral exit means you broadcast the chain of presigned transactions, so your VTXO turns into a UTXO, but spending this UTXO still requires the correct unlock script. In the case of a 2-party DLC, there would be three ways to unlock it: one for each winner with the correct attestation, and a delayed refund for both. This means the Ark operator as the market operator is still part of the DLC, just onchain now instead of in a VTXO.
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