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That seems wrong for a prediction market involving a date. It's excluding acts of god and black swan events. However small, there's still a chance the outcome could be yes.
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That seems wrong for a prediction market involving a date. It's excluding acts of god and black swan events. However small, there's still a chance the outcome could be yes.
Because yesterday, President Trump signed the spending bill into law, funding the government through Dec. 11th. Since it was signed, the market was resolved because OMB would not be issuing Shutdown orders