Exactly why I expect a cyclic dynamic. 

At some point, all the inefficiencies and distortions and fraud of the alphabet soup programs will make UBI attractive. Then, the specific reasons for all those specific programs will reassert themselves.

If you collapse all the social programs into formal UBI, someone will inevitably squander their UBI, end up homeless on the streets, and then voters gonna vote for food, health, and housing programs for them.

Biggest reason I don't support UBI, even as an alternative to existing social programs.

SimpleStacker

I’ve generally thought that we are going to essentially have a de facto UBI from the enormous hodgepodge of transfer programs first.

Then, in the name of fairness/transparency/simplicity, they’ll all get collapsed into a formal UBI (upon which new programs will be added).

Politics_And_Law

econ

Have No Fear, the UBIs Are Here... Or at Least Coming (WSJ, Editorial Board)

denlillaapan

I’ve generally thought that we are going to essentially have a de facto UBI from the enormous hodgepodge of transfer programs first. 

Then, in the name of fairness/transparency/simplicity, they’ll all get collapsed into a formal UBI (upon which new programs will be added).