How it works: if you correctly predict the price range where WTI crude oil (priced in sats) closes, you earn sats. You can bet that it goes up, down, or trades sideways. All bets are denominated in sats, all payouts are in sats. Event contracts are priced between 0 and 100 sats ($0.09 USD). If you predict correctly, you earn 100 sats ($0.09 USD) per correct contract.
The WTI/BTC price moves when oil moves and when Bitcoin moves, so you can trade either view in one market. Bullish oil? Bearish Bitcoin? Both push WTI/BTC up.
Some quick facts about Glimpse:
- No KYC
- Instant deposits and withdrawals via Lightning (also via on-chain Bitcoin)
- Payouts every hour ⇒ You can earn Bitcoin when oil trades up, down, or sideways!
Some links:
- Check out the landing page for more info: https://www.glimpse.trading/
- Read our wiki to learn how it works: https://glimpse.gitbook.io/glimpse
- If you want the technical details, read our whitepaper: https://www.glimpse.trading/whitepaper/
- If you want to build bots or other tools, see our API docs: https://docs.glimpse.markets/
Next up are US500 and the difficulty adjustment. Let me know what other markets you’d want to trade on.
Finally a Bitcoin-native prediction market that isn't just "will BTC go up".
No KYC + Lightning instant deposits/withdrawals + hourly payouts = you just fixed everything wrong with Polymarket (USDC, KYC, slow).
Smart framing with WTI priced in sats - you can trade your oil view OR your Bitcoin view in one market. Bullish oil? Bearish BTC? Both push WTI/BTC up. Clean.
Two questions from someone who'd actually use this:
1) What oracle for WTI close? If it's CME WTI futures settlement, how do you handle weekend gaps when oil closed but BTC still moving?
2) Liquidity - who is market maker? 0-100 sats contracts ($0.09) is nice for dust bets but need depth to make it real.
US500 meh, but difficulty adjustment market? That's chef's kiss - miners would actually hedge hashprice risk there. Do that next and you'll get real volume.
Bookmarking glimpse.markets - gonna try 100 sats long on WTI/BTC. Love that it's all sats in, sats out.