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The final few paragraphs makes sense. But it's going to eat into their margins. Some projects won't be able to survive as customers on the margin peel off to vibecode their own solutions. That's the threat faced by many solutions providers.
Ironically, the ones that tend to survive will be the ones where a high degree of interconnectivity is required, and where the size of the installed user-base is itself a reason to choose the product. Sadly, the age of AI is going to push the bigger-is-better trend in software to even greater stratospheres, IMO.
Margins? BtcPayServer is an opensource project, not a SaaS. They earn nothing from their userbase.
I'm not going to try vibe-coding my own personal OS, but I might try vibe-coding a little personalized accounting app.
But I sympathize with Dorier's point about needing to think about it: I'm sure along the way to vibing my little accounting app I'll have to relearn things that someone who has already spent six months working on an accounting app already includes in their app. It's possible that the wave of DIY every app will be short lived because most people won't be able to one-shot it and will get frustrated by the effort. Tapping on an app in the app store may still feel easier.
I see the idea of people vibe coding their own little apps for different things are being more and more likely.
For a normie that wants a weight tracker app or something like that, why browse app stores full of apps bloated to the gills with ads and features you'll never use because they were designed for a million people?
Just make what you need and strictly only what you need with an LLM.
It's a weight tracker app only you will use, doesn't matter if it's slop.
Obviously for Bitcoin it matters a bit more if it's slop, but I think this concept will apply to a lot of other use cases.
Fuck app stores anyway.
It does seem to me that the number of apps will multiply while the number of apps in app store will shrink -- which is another way of saying what you said. This is just beginning though. My wife hasn't realized that she can make little apps that do what she wants. Most people are still opening Play Store or App Store when they need something.
I wonder how long though? BTCPay Server feels it early because they have a userbase that is already willing to do a lot of up close and personal with tech.
Considering that the app stores are all striving to lock down user's phones, perhaps this is going to be a very welcome development for the sovereignty and privacy world.
Woah. But it's not the capitulation it seems: