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I would think it's easier to pressure an exchange to reveal transactions than to do timing analysis on a purchase through Robosats
You don't need to do timing analysis at all to accuse someone of purchasing or selling bitcoin by looking at their bank account transactions. You realize the IRS operates on guilty till proven innocent right?
Not American so I don't know how that IRS mafia operates.
I don't understand how would they know it's a bitcoin purchase? A transfer to a random person is just a probability, could be a farmer at the market. Whereas a transfer to an exchange is certain.
Exchanges have to report to the government so I'm not either are much different.
Well your entire banking history isn't viewable by the IRS by transacting with an exchange. The article above indicates that simply transacting with the "wrong" person allows them to access your bank transactions even if you did nothing wrong.
Yes, banking related p2p trades are probably one of the worst ways to acquire bitcoin. Arguably worst than exchanges where millions blend together.