And you bet ya, they will criminalize P2P exchange. Thats big no no. Only way to do that is to have network of agent informers. Doesnt scale, but they can get many people and make exmple of them.
With all you have said you sound pretty bleak but in the end they will lose. If you don't believe that then why are you even here?
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I WILL DIE ON THIS HILL BROTHER :)
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