The ChatGPT Hype Is Over ? \ stacker news ~tech

It’s happening. OpenAI’s losing the AI race.

Remember those days when ChatGPT was everyone’s topic of conversation? Yes, you do. Remember those days when BeReal was everywhere? Yes, you do. Remember those days when Vine was the most trending app? Uh, maybe? What about when YikYak was everyone’s app? Yik-what? Go back to high school. There’s always that popular girl in school for a few years. Ten years later, you’ll probably say, “Gosh, I haven’t heard that name in years.”

There are no hypes that last forever. Every single business or venture will decline one day or another.

Yes, WhatsApp won’t be used forever. Apple is going to be historical. Teslas are going to be sold as antiques.

Image from Harvard Business Review On the one hand, if you’re working on a product, hype is what you’re looking for. On the other hand, you will have an enormous challenge dealing with the “post-hype.” I’ve written an article analyzing how Google Bard will destroy ChatGPT because it’s a long-term game, and Google has the upper hand in terms of market dominance. ChatGPT has a better product, but that doesn’t mean they’ll win the long race.

This was quite the trending article reaching 178,000 people. There were quite the mixed emotions towards it. Some agreed that Google had the upper hand. Others think that ChatGPT has a “first-movers advantage.”

Now let’s resume the conversation. Ever since then, Google has been developing and waiting for the hype to fade. Their stock has been on the rise because many believe in their AI investments.

Finally, OpenAI made a few moves that made me believe that they’re moving more toward the losing side of the race. Let me elaborate; it’ll be fun.

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @0232cf2253 24 Sep 2023

I use it on a semi frequent basis but what is even more interesting is the development going into self hosted LLM's. I believe that eventually chatGPT won't be relevant because you will be able to get the same level of accuracy self hosting in the near future. Eventually we'll get 130b LLM's that self host with very respectable computer usage. Currently the best self hosted models are still an order of magnitude less impressive than ChatGPT. Still really cool to see your resource usage crank to 100% and it spit out any answer at all though.

I don't think AI hype in general is going anywhere, but imo there is still no clear corpo winner until AGI and we may not be able to achieve that without an exponential and explosive growth in raw compute power. Quantum maybe?

I really think more light should shine down on the area of self hosting LLM's. You can even run very tiny models on a raspberry pi. We don't have to let big corpo win again. Hell someone give me Bitcoin and I will walk down the road to the DC I live near and start racking and stacking hardware.