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How is the USA's credibility at this point?
The recent rupee-designated oil transaction between India and the United Arab Emirates is not merely a swipe at the petrodollar arrangement that has prevailed since 1973. It is also a signal that the world’s major commodity exporters and importers can try to reduce their dependence on the dollar. If not a new world order, the BRICS expansion is certainly an attempt at an alternative world order, one with a more sympathetic ear for the developing many versus the developed few.

What factors make a country credible, or not?
It's the same factors that make a human credible - honoring commitments, I'd guess. We've been breaking commitments lately:
The West’s proclivity to deploy unilateral financial sanctions, abuse international payments mechanisms, renege on climate finance commitments, and accord scant respect to food security and health imperatives of the Global South during the pandemic are only some of the elements responsible for the growing disenchantment with the prevailing international system.
It's probably not just honoring commitments. As with humans, if you have enough power you can be a total shithead and people will treat you as if you're credible.

What would ensue from a loss of credibility?
Oversaturated with Dalio as I am, loss of world reserve currency status and internal and external disorder.