1735 sats \ 1 reply \ @gunson 4 Dec 2023 \ on: Lightning Prediction Market MVP - delphi.market bitcoin
Very cool.
Market settlement is going to be a very interesting problem to solve in future versions.
I wonder if you could nominate an npub (or have an m of n npub model) to agree on the outcome. Then anyone participating could:
- Choose a market based on the npub they most trust
- Vs. the market with most liquidity
Market settlement then only possible based on nominated npub signing a settlement message with their nsec.
Also, will be great to get stats working right. I love to randomly check Predictit, Manifold, and (this is the most shitcoiner thing I do) Polymarket.
Ohh, I like the idea of nominating an npub or even a m of n npub model!
I mentioned in this comment that I think we could have a lot of options for oracle and hopefully the best one will emerge simply by what people choose. or maybe not, idk, haha. but experimentation seems like the way to go. just build something! lol
Also, will be great to get stats working right. I love to randomly check Predictit, Manifold, and (this is the most shitcoiner thing I do) Polymarket.
Yeah, the market stats might actually be the most important thing. Since it's where whole society gets value from prediction markets by exposing information and not only traders benefting from each other in a zero-sum game.
Need to work on my frontend skills.
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