I'm still not sure where to rank aliens on the list of possible explanations though.
Agreed, if I had to guess, maybe it's something like
  • 90% misidentifying
  • 9% advanced man-made tech
  • 1% actual NHI
I'd add "Intentional psyop" to the list, although perhaps that falls under "misidentifying". Plus, it's not like just one of these is the explanation. Taking the incidents case by case, some of these explanations are more likely than others.
What sustains my interest in the topic is that there is no plausible explanation (that I've seen) that accounts for the full set of documented incidents.
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You're right, psyop should be separate from "mis-ID", something like 25% probably as well.
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