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0 sats \ 3 replies \ @halleck 29 Dec 2023 \ parent \ on: U.S. Banks Confront Unrelenting Deposit Erosion econ
I do agree that among us that watch financial news, there is a reduction in trust. Bank runs and collapses are a big deal. I think we should continue to watch with a cautious eye to see if deposits catch a trend line (something like steady inflation) and start nominal growth again sometime in '24.
To be honest I give inflation a good chance to roar back in the 2nd half of '24 due to energy. Looks like we are following the 70's path closely.
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I agree. I expect inflation to come back. A combination of supply chain shocks and loosened monetary policy should see that graph bounce. Energy is always hard to predict because of the entities that control oil supply.
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Aaaand: watch how the EU finance ministers killed the rest of the Maastricht rules last week. They need to fill the fast growing fiscal gaps.
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