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I think too many people are looking at the fee market and right now and coming to the conclusion "wow this is how it's going to be." If you think that ordinals are bitcoin's killer use case, I could see coming to these conclusions.
The issue with arguments like "See, fees are high right now and lightning isn't working!" is that current blockspace uses are a temporary blip, like all NFTs before, this too shall pass.
Future high fee blockspace demand dreams are based on bitcoin gaining traction. I think most people who are imagining bitcoin being used in a widespread way are imagining blockspace being used to move value. This scenario is exactly what lightning was designed for-- shunting transaction volume off-chain, optimizing bitcoin's use as a value transfer system.
In these future worlds, each blockspace demand spike increases lightning usage. The network becomes more efficient over time. Lightning was made for this.
Let's not be too hasty to draw straight lines from two points very close in time.
And you would be correct
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