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1409 sats \ 4 replies \ @kepford 5 Feb 2024 \ on: Misreading Milei: The American press can only see Argentina through a US lens news
In a national election? Close to zero.
How close?
George Washington was an independent, so there is at least precedent for it happening.
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Pretty close. World was very different then. You didn't specify a time frame. Over the next 50-100 years I'd say the chance increases fast. I do think the weak candidates from both parties are a signal into the door opening for third parties to win.
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yeah i agree that people seem to sense a weakness on both the left and the right.
what do you think needs to happen before the chances of a third-party winner begin to increase really fast?
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If you look to our southern neighbors? Things need to get much worse. Someone needs to have real answers vs. just stopping the opposition. I've yet to see anyone on the horizon that could do this.
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