Except that trillion is not worth as much as it was 3 years ago. As Jeff Booth would say, "you're attempting to measure the system from within itself".
Gold is a good one. Assets in general, like house prices (MSPNHSUS on TradingView) but also commodities - oil (proxy for energy price), wheat, beef (human sustenance) are some I commonly look at, as well as stock indices - as long as USD component is cancelled out, it makes more sense to me.
solar deployments are growing incredibly fast all over the world. if that continues, does that make the price of oil a worse proxy for global energy prices?
It might reduce corelation but will remain an important industrial indicator because so much of it is still dependent on burning dead dinosaurs (like, all of transportation).
Gold has no life in the market anymore. The only use for gold is in electrical and chemical applications (which it excels). Once central banks discover is worthless to them and begin selling the price of gold will be going down for the next ten years or more. (in real terms)
most services are actually using the total issued bitcoin to date, but i hear your point.
the trouble with the “lost forever” coins is there isn’t any clear-cut way of knowing which coins were actually lost vs. coins that have simply been held for a long time.
2030+. I'm surprised gold has been so stable with BRICS and what they're up to. It will be difficult to catch up anytime soon. A 13X in 6 years just seems a little bit like wishful thinking, especially when that's midway through the next cycle and another too probably has blown off.
Who knows... maybe history doesn't repeat with all the craziness going on right now. Let's just get through 2024 before making any predictions.
Rebalancing is often automatic. If you have a portfolio with a 1% btc allocation and it becomes 2%, half of it will be sold to get back to 1%. At least that's how I understand it. People can of course increase their allocation, but that requires doing smth..
Sure, it's just an example. Theoretically, a 1.05% allocation should be rebalanced to 1.00% as well (every month/year). This could make the peaks and troughs less steep.
Imagine being a goldbug your whole life and when everything finally goes to shit and it should be your moment of triumph, this new fangled thing called Bitcoin comes along and kills all your hopes and dreams, and your name is Peter Schiff.
As of last decade, Gold witnessed a period where its popularity as commodity has been below par. Yes it can be difficult to align it with growing popularity of Bitcoin and co. but crypto (all combined) will definitely surpass Gold's Mcap in next decade....
https://youtu.be/P18frOZUZmU