Sure seems that way. The elites seem eager for a war. Right now the war in Ukraine has just turned into a huge money laundering scheme between politicians and the military industrial complex.

With ever mounting debt and money printing an all out war is probably the only way to usher in a “reset” without most people realizing what is actually happening.

Yes. It might be this conflict; it might be the next conflict. How else do you expect the world governments to deal with their own unmanageable debt and inability to stop spending?

5% probability IMO. But to me that's a relevant number

History says yes