Japanese society is caught in a demographic trap. The state is completely over-indebted and in recent years it has been Japan's central bank that has taken on a large part of the newly imitated debt on its balance sheet to keep things running. With its show event to raise the key interest rates minimally from negative territory to 0%, the Bank of Japan is distracting from the fact that it is almost impossible to bring this bloated balance sheet back to a normal level. The question is, who is going to take on this debt and at the same time keep the state apparatus, which is accumulating more and more debt, liquid? Of course this is impossible. We are living the death throes of fiat money here, which we can probably expect to see in a similar form in the eurozone sooner or later. Here it is heavyweights such as Germany, but also all other countries, whose reproduction rates have collapsed and whose debt is gaining momentum. Nobody else, apart from the European Central Bank, will want to take toxic debt securities from these countries onto their balance sheets. The euro is in latent danger!
I've been thinking about this for a long time, how Japan plans to one day fix all the mess they have set up with their debt, because even if they delay it, one day they will have to deal with their sad reality.
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yes, and they thought that they had found the key to solving all social problems with monetary policy. big mistake
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21 sats \ 1 reply \ @gmd 21 Mar
Just went to Japan- such a beautiful country and wonderful culture and people. I couldn't help but think how sad it is that their economy is so stagnant and their balance sheet is imploding. Gives me anxiety to think of how this will play out...
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It's really sad. I love this culture
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Isnt Japan forced to buy USA bonds? Im sure that doesnt help its situation, either.
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Printing yen to buy USD to buy USTs yielding >4% in dollar terms? It's like the best thing they could do. They are speculative attacking the yen, to buy harder assets, weakening the yen to inflate away the debt, and make their exports cheaper.
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How does this help Japan? The US dollar inflation is like 10%. In what way does 4% yield a better return than the inflation that is happening at 10%? Im sorry, but your math isnt mathing.
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Why would the Japanese care about US inflation? JGB rates are 0%. The yen has lost almost 40% of its value against the USD in the past 5 years. 4% USD yeild is fantastic for them.
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