Moore’s Law: the number of transistors on computer chips doubles every two years \ stacker news ~charts

Moore’s Law: the number of transistors on computer chips doubles every two years

1461 sats \ 9 comments \ @oliverweiss 22 Mar charts

Moore’s Law is not a law of nature, but an observation of a long-term trend in how technology is changing.

Original graph by Moore:

And where we stand now, simply unbelievable:

Bonus charts:

(source)

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178 sats \ 1 reply \ @k00b 22 Mar

I've always wondered if this is self-prophecy or not. It was early enough he might've been able to draw other conclusions.

226 sats \ 0 replies \ @oliverweiss OP 22 Mar

Indeed. If I read the original plot well, Moore made this claim based on four, five(!) points!

31 sats \ 0 replies \ @DiedOnTitan 23 Mar

Great set of charts! Thanks for posting. When modern methods reach their physical limit, some new breakthrough method comes along and keeps this going. It really is astounding that Moore's Law has held up this long.

31 sats \ 0 replies \ @BitcoinIsTheFuture 23 Mar

This is amazing and scary at the same time. I love the innovation and growth, but prices should be down more. Broken money..

21 sats \ 0 replies \ @Bell_curve 22 Mar

I think it’s closer to 18 months now

21 sats \ 2 replies \ @jakoyoh629 22 Mar

Shouldn't we expect it to be more difficult to fold in the future?

42 sats \ 1 reply \ @oliverweiss OP 22 Mar

I am not a tech expert, so perhaps someone more competent can comment. I googled this a bit and Moore’s law was called invalid already years ago. But the data in the chart go over 50, 60 years, still look ok to me.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @jakoyoh629 22 Mar

Thanks

10 sats \ 0 replies \ @nullcount 23 Mar

Muh chain haz smol block Node run on toaster Poors cannot afford