Bitcoin is currently keeping the same pace as did internet within its first 15 years. Bitcoin is toe to toe with internet in terms of its adoption year to year.
So, currently the number of Bitcoin users around the world is estimated around 300 million and this is the same with internet in the year 2000.
But currently internet users have grown to more than 5 billion globally. This presents a scenario. Can we say that after 24 years, in the year 2048, the number of Bitcoin users will be more than 5 billion.

What do you think? How many people will be using Bitcoin in 2048?

I think it depends on population growth. If we dont change something, of course it will grow, just like the internet and bitcoin. But what happens if there is a mass extinction, almost like "Covid"? OMG Might stop growth lol
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All the developed nations have fertility rates below replacement, 2.1
South Korea is 0.72
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its great that all the "developed" nations have lower rates, but it just means the "undeveloped" nations will have migration... Where do you think they will go?
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East Berlin
The open borders advocates live in a bubble where they can avoid all social contact with third world immigrants.
Extension of limousine liberals prevalent in Hollywood and academia
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I'd take the over. Internet/smart phone physical hardware already adopted, allowing pure software to spread faster. And that's just humans. I think there will be far more AI agents with BTC keys.
Has anyone started making similar adoption comparisons for Nostr yet?
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I don't think there's any Nostr comparison out yet.
Yes, you're probably right, the stage is set for a rapid adoption , however I don't get it why it's taking longer.
May be the need of a bit of technical knowledge while using Bitcoin.
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It's not taken over yet because it's difficult to use, very regulated, highly taxed, and most people don't see the compounding effects of inflation and believe the government statistics.
Most people are just living their lives, many paycheck-to-paycheck. They don't have time for the rabbit hole.
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21 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek 9 Apr
Has anyone started making similar adoption comparisons for Nostr yet?
I heard the theory that in the beginning, bitcoin adoption grows nostr but at some point it will flip.
Assuming this will happen, I think it's fair to say nostr adoption will outpace bitcoin adoption later on.
I also think the premise makes sense since it's easier to get started on nostr: you simply download an app which can automatically generate a key pair for you. To get started on bitcoin, you need to deal with money which you can't simply download. You can download a wallet but not satoshis.
However, there are some hidden premises like nostr surviving long enough to reach bitcoin escape velocity.
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This is the most rational answer to Nostr growth.
Where the answer is about "the number of people using Bitcoin in 2048?"
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