P(losing all 3) = [1 - P(winning)]^3 = (1 - 0.9)^3 = 0.001 = 0.1%
Are these Celtics a team of destiny?
The Wolves have also had a lead in the final minutes of their three losses.
I don't know if this formula works though because one game was with 8 minutes left. I could see if they were all in the last minute this would be a good representation of the odds.
Anyways, either way you slice it, highly unlikely.
Did you enter the cricket pool?
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It's a conditional probability, so it's all about specifying the conditions, but you're right that it's not right. These games aren't independent of each other, the way coin flips are and you could pick any of the other win probabilities from the three games to get totally different answers.
I haven't joined the cricket pool yet, but I will.
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You are gonna love Duckworth-Lewis… :)
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