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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upheld its global economic growth forecasts for this year and the next, with minor revisions for certain countries. According to the latest update from the IMF's World Economic Outlook, the global GDP is expected to rise by 3.2% in 2024 and 3.3% in 2025.
If we now succeed in escalating the tensions with Iran and Taiwan, then we can expect a real boom year!
War brings even more economic growth. If a war happened to Taiwan, what would happen first?
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I meant that more in a sarcastic context. War boosts industrial production and the military sector in the short term, creates an apparent job upswing, but corresponds exactly to the theory of boom and bust cycles of the Austrian School, where overcapacities are created that immediately collapse when normality sets in.
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I meant it as a truth. War does bring an overabundance of production in many sectors. There are people who want war to happen to boost their industries.
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23 sats \ 1 reply \ @TomK OP 17 Jul
But war does not produce the civilian goods that we as consumers need to build prosperity. War favors a small parasitic caste, which we can identify very well today when we look at the military complex that is currently firing up in various hot spots of geopolitics.
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I realize this. I am not saying war helps people and the economy. People are grasping that they are left holding the bag while others get rich. All risk and no reward for the poorer folk.
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