pull down to refresh

Another ugly 10YR US Treasury auction.

  • Tail over 3 bps
  • Foreign bidders only 66%
  • Bid to Cover was a measly 2.32
  • and Dealers were stuck with 18% of the auction

So much for flight to safety and imminent rate cuts. This auction was nothing short of abysmal.

Source https://x.com/jameslavish/status/1821238707300745634

It's getting harder to absorb this public debt crap.

reply

The US needs to start paying off some of its debt.

reply

Never gonna happen. Fiat has a growing need for debt inscripted to roll over the debt load +'yield

reply

RIght, I get that.
But if they just paid of some of it...they could strenghten the dollar again.

reply

no, that doesn't work in the fiat money system because we use credit as money. so when a large debtor like the united states repays and redeems parts of its loan, the money supply drops dramatically. then there is illiquidity and massive interest rate spikes the existing debt becomes unpayable and a death spiral is set in motion. so credit, the money supply, has to keep increasing

reply

That is true.
But it is time for us to suffer a bit so that we can improve our situation.

reply

yes, but that would collapse the banking system, which is the circuit of the distribution system that makes the big robbery via the credit mechanism around inflation possible in the first place. That will only happen when the entire system collapses and can no longer be sustained

reply

Its only a matter of time.

What a bind the fed and treasury are going to be in. Fed will need to cut but no one wants treasuries unless the juice is worth the squeeze.

reply

And, inflation is still over it's target.

The Fed can be the Treasury buyer of last resort

reply

Just like the BoJ

reply
41 sats \ 1 reply \ @zx 7 Aug 2024

Isn't that nearly all central banks?

reply

To some extent but the BoJ are the worst and longest offenders.

reply

Thanks! So much to learn about Treasury Auction! Great post.

Just one confusion. At what point it really becomes good for Bitcoin?

reply

When there're only the CBs left to buy this junk and markets realize there's a risk holding this stuff

reply

Why buy 10 year notes when 2 year notes have higher yield?

reply

Did you see the news that Buffett holds more t-bills than the Fed now?

reply

I feel Buffett is a bit outdated.
Is he still on about btc being a scam?

reply

Definitely

reply

Him and munger.
Both still on their high horse.

reply

Munger died around 9 months ago so he isn’t around to complain about bitcoin anymore but Buffett hasn’t changed his stance.

reply

Munger died?
I must have missed that news!
Wow, he made it to 99!

reply

JD Vance's wife, Usha, was a partner or associate at Munger Tolles law firm

BR, like Tether, clearly is embedded in the growing group of dumping pools for the Treasury

reply

Brrrr! 10y debt rated AAA?

reply

Rating agencies are highly political controlled players in the fiat fraud scheme.

reply

Rating is inverse of yield

Why do they call it a good thing for US?

reply

No one said it was a good thing.

reply

Very Informative. Thanks.

reply

yesterday's bad auction of US government bonds reminds me fatally of an event that happened here in Spain about half a year ago. we have the same problems here in Europe, if not much bigger ones, with government debt that nobody really wants to take on their balance sheet, which is why the ECB has basically been the only main buyer of this garbage for over 10 years. half a year ago, the Spanish government called on people to buy government bonds via newspaper advertisements and the older generation queued up in front of the banks to buy this garbage. probably as a toxic legacy for the grandchildren

reply

No one wants to buy toilet paper.

reply