33 sats \ 1 reply \ @jeff OP 8 Aug \ parent \ on: [meta] ~econ [2024Q3] econ
I like this. How do we forecast ex-post-cost income?
I was thinking as simply as possible. Whatever your current price formula spits out for August, call it X, make the actual August price = (X + 187)/2.
You should still converge to the same place, but with less volatility and probably a little slower.
reply